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Kojo's avatar
1hEdited

I think you are skipping over valuable lessons of European history, if you dismiss local competition.

Germany has since WW II been bascially a vassal of the US on a continent that was basically still militarily occupied, including Germany, deliberately disarmed and kept under it's thumb, while Britain and France, on the victorious side in WW II were more armed, and even have nuclear weapons.

Now not only is the US scaling down its presence, but what is happening? The us is platforming slavid countries like Ukraine and Poland to be its military bulwarks in Europe. The US even stripped Germany of its cheap Russia gas via the Nordstream. Now Norway is the energy powerhouse in Europe, and its gas terminal on the contient is......Poland. Poland is also now the biggest army in Europe:

https://www.thomasfazi.com/p/atlanticism-not-nationalism-is-driving/comment/129390175

These are countries that Germany traditionally considered to be its inferiors.

Germany is now determined to be armed and to, as its leaders keep saying "take its rightful place in Europe".

But yet Germany can never dominate a nuclear armed Russia that has a close alliance with China, although Russia is given as the supposed excuse. So ultimately what we are left with its an increasinl belligenrent and armed Germany seeking to show its nearby neighbours that IT is the top dog around here. Sounds familiar? Do we know how this ends?

It's absolute folly and overlooking history to ignore when Germans start using such terms and rearming. As a famous philisopher once said: history maybe doesnt repeat exact lines, but it sure rhymes a hell of a lot!

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Philalethes's avatar

The piece contains interesting points, in particular, on the material and above all manpower constraints on the planned German re-armament.

However, as the piece itself acknowledges, Russia’s actions have created the “new post-Ukraine geopolitical reality’. Chancellor Scholz may have failed to act upon his proclaimed Zeitenwende, but this does not mean that a Zeitenwende has not occurred, and the piece does not deny it. Could one seriously maintain that, in the new geopolitical conditions created by the invasion of Ukraine,a cold-blooded pursuit of German national interest would suggest relying on the self-proclaimed peaceful intentions of Russia (actually, not even self-proclaimed, as there is no lack of voices in Russia calling for an expansion of the ‘Russian world’)?

I am afraid that if the two main premises of the piece - inescapable new post-Ukraine reality and unfeasible German conventional rearmament- are correct, then the implicit suggestion is that Germany should consider nuclear armament.

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